By Pat Anson, PNN Editor

For the fifth year in a row, the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration is proposing significant cuts in the supply of hydrocodone, oxycodone and several other opioid pain medications classified as Schedule II controlled substances.

The cuts are partly based on a prediction by the Food and Drug Administration that medical need for the drugs will decline by over a third in 2021.

In a notice published Tuesday in the Federal Register, the DEA proposes to reduce production quotas for hydrocodone by 9 percent and oxycodone by 13 percent in 2021. The supply of hydromorphone would be reduced by nearly 20% and fentanyl by 29% next year.  

The DEA first proposed cuts in the supply of opioids during the Obama administration and the trend has accelerated under President Trump. If approved, the 2021 production quotas would amount to a 53% reduction in the supply of both hydrocodone and oxycodone since 2017.

DEA consulted with the FDA, CDC and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) before making its recommendations. The key analysis came from the FDA, which provides DEA with annual estimates of medical usage for controlled substances like opioids.

“FDA's predicted levels of medical need for the United States was expected to decline on average 36.52 percent for calendar year 2021. These declines were expected to occur across a variety of schedule II opioids including fentanyl, hydrocodone, hydromorphone, codeine, and morphine,” the DEA said.

The FDA’s analysis, however, came before COVID-19 infections became widespread in the United States. That led to an increase in demand for injectable opioids used to treat seriously ill coronavirus patients on ventilators.

Faced with growing shortages of those drugs, the DEA issued an emergency order in April raising production quotas for injectable pain medications. Many of those drugs, such as injectable fentanyl and hydromorphone, are still listed on an FDA database of drug shortages.     

DEA said its production quotas for 2021 reflect an “anticipated increase in demand for opioids used to treat patients with COVID-19.”

“Despite this public health emergency, DEA remains focused on the challenges presented by opioid addiction and its effect on the health and wellbeing of the millions of Americans and their families who have become dependent upon or addicted to them. The potential for addiction and misuse exists in every community and remains a pressing health issue with significant social and economic implications,” the agency said.

As PNN has reported, prescription opioids play only a small role in the U.S. opioid epidemic. A new CDC report estimates that nearly 85% of drug overdoses in the first six months of 2019 involved illicit fentanyl, heroin and other street drugs. Prescription opioids were linked to about 20% of overdoses.

In addition to reducing the supply of opioids, the DEA is proposing a significant cut in the production quota for marijuana, which is still classified as a Schedule I controlled substance. To accommodate increased demand for marijuana research, the DEA raised the 2020 quota for marijuana to 3,200 kilograms. Those gains would be reversed in 2021, with production quotas for marijuana and marijuana extracts being reduced to 1,700 kilograms.

Public comments will be accepted on the DEA’s proposed production quotas until October 1, 2020. Comments can be made by clicking here.